Climate Change 2001:
Working Group II: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability
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Figure 12-4: Simulated return periods (average time between events) of storm tides in Cairns, Queensland, for present climate (lower curve), and for enhanced greenhouse climate (upper curve), assuming 10 hPa lowering of central pressures and increased variability (additional 5 hPa standard deviation) of tropical cyclones. Anticipated mean sea-level rise should be added to these estimates. Uncertainty ranges of simulations are shown via grey shading (Walsh et al., 2000).

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